{"id":754,"date":"2012-04-05T12:20:33","date_gmt":"2012-04-05T12:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technogypsie.com\/science\/?p=754"},"modified":"2012-04-05T12:20:33","modified_gmt":"2012-04-05T12:20:33","slug":"climate-change-is-already-harshing-the-weather-grist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/technotink.net\/science\/climate-change-is-already-harshing-the-weather-grist\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate change is already harshing the weather | Grist"},"content":{"rendered":"

Climate change is already harshing the weather | Grist<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n

Cross Posted via WordPress “Press This” app from the above website. Archived for educational\/research purposes.<\/em><\/p>\n

By David\u00a0Roberts<\/a><\/p>\n<\/header>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Things are getting weird around here. (Photo by Zach Frailey.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

In a sane world, a 2011 filled with spectacularly bizarre weather<\/a>\u00a0followed by\u00a0a winter and spring that are record-shatteringly hot<\/a>\u00a0\u2013\u00a0out of control hot<\/a>;\u00a0Biblical hot<\/a>\u00a0\u2013\u00a0would have everyone in the U.S. freaking the f*ck out about climate change.<\/p>\n

We never quite get there, though. We don\u2019t seem to be grappling with the fact that this kind of volatility is rapidly becoming the new normal \u2014 or that we are totally unprepared.<\/p>\n

If the public does tune in to what little media coverage there is of the climate-weather connection, they end up wading through technical discussions about attribution.\u00a0Take this piece<\/a> from Andrew Freedman at Climate Central. It is an excellent piece of reporting, thorough and judicious, but it is occupied almost\u00a0exclusively\u00a0with pinning down exactly what portion of this\u00a0particular\u00a0heat wave can be attributed to climate change. Some scientists say only a small portion. Some say it wouldn\u2019t have happened without climate. Freedman\u2019s lede says the heat wave \u201cbears some of the hallmarks of global warming.\u201d It\u2019s not exactly galvanizing stuff.<\/p>\n

Brad Plumer follows up with a similar piece<\/a>. At the end, he asks:<\/p>\n

So why does any of this matter? Isn\u2019t it enough to know that the planet is warming and that unseasonably sweaty conditions are the sort of thing we\u2019re likely to see more and more frequently if we continue belching greenhouse gases into the air?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Um \u2026 yes! It is enough! As Brad notes, there may be some legal issues down the road that hinge on precise attribution for individual events, but it\u2019s hard to see how it has much bearing on policy or public sentiment.<\/p>\n

The recently released IPCC report on extreme weather<\/a> isn\u2019t much better at clearly conveying the big picture. As Joe Romm notes<\/a>, it\u2019s a bland, least-common-denominator document:<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, the IPCC continues to conflate uncertainty in future emissions of greenhouse gases with uncertainty in the climate\u2019s sensitivity to those emissions. \u00a0This means they present a very large range of possible overall impacts \u2014 and that allows the deniers to trumpet the low range with their powerful fossil-fuel-funded megaphone and induces the media to provide \u201cbalance\u201d in their stories between the mid-range and the low range.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The net effect is that an accurate picture of the current range of scientific opinion does not reach readers. Michael Tobis sketched out this graph<\/a> to try to represent the skewed nature of public discussion:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Anyway, getting back to weather: What the public needs to know is that volatility like we\u2019ve seen recently is on the rise because of climate change. Even if we stopped emitting greenhouse gases tomorrow, global average temperature would continue rising for a good half-century just in response to past GHG emissions. Rising temperature will drive more and more extreme weather. This will create all sorts of health, agricultural, energy, and economic issues for which we are grossly unprepared.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s it. Why can\u2019t that simple message seem to capture the popular imagination? How much freaky weather does it take?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Climate change is already harshing the weather | Grist. Cross Posted via WordPress “Press This” app from the above website. Archived for educational\/research purposes. By David\u00a0Roberts Things are getting weird around here. (Photo by Zach Frailey.) In a sane world, … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[24,28,30],"tags":[272,396,684,739,1154,1536],"class_list":["post-754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climates-seasons","category-disasters","category-environments-and-landscapes","tag-bizarre-weather","tag-climate-change","tag-global-warming","tag-heat-waves","tag-predictions","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nClimate change is already harshing the weather | Grist - Naturally Science and Lore<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/technotink.net\/science\/climate-change-is-already-harshing-the-weather-grist\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Climate change is already harshing the weather | Grist - Naturally Science and Lore\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Climate change is already harshing the weather | Grist. 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